Friday, October 10, 2008

The Direction We're Not Moving In

I heard something on the mainstream news last nite that actually made sense. This recent crisis is more about fear than any sort of underlying economic problem... When prices are kept artificially high for years, people panic when they start to come down. that panic leads to "SELLSELLSELL!!" which leads to prices coming down even more, which leads to more "SELLSELLSELL!" If there were no bailout, eventually the panic would subside and things would stabilize at a sustainable level. The % of our GDP that is tied up in the financial sector would shrink, and the % of our GDP related to manufacturing, technology, etc would increase. The hundreds of billions in evaporated wealth due to the stock market crash would not magically reappear--it would be gone (not that it ever really had any right to exist in the first place), wages might come down a bit, values of savings would decrease, and that obviously would suck for a lot of people... But homes would be affordable. Energy would be affordable. Food would be affordable. And we could move forward in a slightly more sustainable fashion. Too bad, we're not moving in that direction... Not yet at least.

2 Comments:

Blogger The Arthurian said...

Hi... got here via "Next Blog"... I like your topic... VERY occasional posts?? Anyhow, here's what induced me to comment:
"...The % of our GDP that is tied up in the financial sector would shrink, and the % of our GDP related to manufacturing, technology, etc would increase...."

Yeah, that's where the solution lies. My phrasing is "excessive reliance on credit" but we have similar concerns I think.

Your more recent post (25 Oct 09): "The Financial Sector Has Five Lobbyists for Every Congressperson
Think about it..."

Yeah, that's where the problem lies. Excessive finance, excessive facilitation, inadequate emphasis on production. We see comparable solutions I think.

But in this older post you write: "This recent crisis is more about fear than any sort of underlying economic problem..." With this I would disagree.

How can we possibly have all this debt? It is beyond abnormal... It is inexplicable. Except for one thing: Our economic policies remove money from circulation (to fight inflation) at the same time they induce spending (to encourage growth).

Our policies remove money from circulation, but encourage spending. Because of this combination of policies, we have learned to use credit for money. This, in my view, is the reason we have inexplicable debt.

This conflict within economic policy itself, in my view, is the underlying problem.

As you say: Think about it...

9:35 PM  
Blogger and i said...

Thanks for your comments! I appreciate your thoughts on mine. ;)

1:45 PM  

Post a Comment

<< Home